Author: Dann Corbit
Date: 10:48:03 06/21/99
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On June 21, 1999 at 13:44:38, James Robertson wrote: >Could someone please calculate the odds that the 4 non-supercomputers would >score an even result with these 4 GMs? If the computers are just barely GM >strength (2500) and the humans are fairly strong GMs (2600), the humans should >score 64% on average. If the computers are rated 2450, the GMs should score 70%, >and the humans should score 75% against 2400 players. > >But the computers had white in 3 games, and white scores 60% against black. If >the odds were calculated, I'll bet it would be something like the computers have >a 35% chance of scoring the result we saw. With the number of games played, the uncertainty is so high that I do not think you can provide a reasonable calculation. Look at how many games the SSDF plays before they even post a result. There is a *reason* for that.
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