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Subject: Re: Could someone calculate these odds?

Author: James Robertson

Date: 13:39:30 06/21/99

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On June 21, 1999 at 15:57:13, Dann Corbit wrote:

>On June 21, 1999 at 15:42:24, James Robertson wrote:
>[snip]
>>I didn't make myself clear. If the programs are GM strength then they must be at
>>least 2500. I wanted to see what the odds are of a 2500 group of players againt
>>a 2600 group of players, or if they are just IM strength, what are the odds
>>then?
>I am quite sure that I do not understand your question.  But the point scoring
>expectancy for 100 ELO difference is 36% -- does that help?

In the first post I mentioned that the 2600s should score 64%. :)

>
>If you hope to prove that the programs are GM strength from this I guarantee you
>that it is completely hopeless.

Exactly the opposite... many people are using this as 'proof' that comps are GM
strength. I wanted to see what the odds are that they, if they were rated 2400
or 2500 could make this result against four 2600 GMs.

James



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