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Subject: Re: Poll Question for "If Computers are finally as Strong as GM's"

Author: Micheal Cummings

Date: 17:23:47 06/22/99

Go up one level in this thread



On June 22, 1999 at 11:11:18, Harald Faber wrote:

>On June 22, 1999 at 11:08:17, Robert Hyatt wrote:
>
>>>>>The fact remains that computers have beaten GM's Thus they must be GM level to
>>>>>do it. Its like saying if one GM beats another that maybe that GM is not of the
>>>>>level, cause he only wins when a better GM blunders, get real !!!
>>>>This is not a demonstration of computers being at GM level. I have beaten
>>>>players who are *much* better than I am.  It is not a demonstration that I am as
>>>>good as they are.  It is merely a demonstration of an isolated win.
>>>I should mention also that beating them was not any sort of indication that I
>>>was inferior to them (even though I am).
>>>
>>>>>You are right we do not need an opinion poll question, they are GM level,
>>>>>otherwise they would not be able to beat a GM. Just because a GM blunders does
>>>>>not make him a GM anymore. Hoe many more win do computers have to do to make
>>>>>then GM level
>>>>Scientific proof is what is needed.  Not an opinion poll.  A win against a good
>>>>opponent does not prove equality.
>>>Computers *might* be at GM level.  Or not.  For a GM to be at GM level, what
>>>does he/she have to do?  A computer must pass those exact same conditions or it
>>>is not *proven* to be at GM level.  Period.  Right now, we just don't know.
>>>Scientifically, that is.
>>>
>>>Let's invent a new measure called "Seems Like a GM to me"
>>>Any computer is at that level if you think it is.
>>
>>
>>Right now we are at computers 3, humans 5, in our 8 game 40/2hr series of
>>games.  That _might_ mean the computers are at the lower GM level.  It also
>>might mean that they are at super-GM level.  Or it might mean they were somewhat
>>lucky.  Untill we have enough games, we don't know.  If we had a score of 15-5,
>>I think the conclusion would be pretty accurate (assuming 15 for humans) that
>>the computers are 200 points worse (ie 2400).  If we had 10-10, I'd think that
>>we would conclude that the computers were reasonably close to 2600, although
>>there is still a significant margin of error for only 20 games.
>>
>>Or we could have a vote.  That will decide it, right?  :)
>
>A reason why you don't count Hiarcs-Hergott?

whats wrong with an opinion Poll question, it is only for opinions. But bob I
think I know why you do not want one. Cause I would suspect that most people
would say yes, and from recent posts you will be yet again be bombarded as to
your many reasons why they are not :-)

But with the one or two questions we ever get on opinion Polls here, I think it
can be added.



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