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Subject: Re: Poll Question for "If Computers are finally as Strong as GM's"

Author: Bernhard Bauer

Date: 05:24:09 06/25/99

Go up one level in this thread


On June 24, 1999 at 09:50:51, Robert Hyatt wrote:

>On June 24, 1999 at 00:39:39, Sarah Bird wrote:
>
>>On June 23, 1999 at 18:22:28, Robert Hyatt wrote:
>>
>>>On June 23, 1999 at 00:37:10, Sarah Bird wrote:
>>>
>>>>On June 22, 1999 at 20:12:22, Robert Hyatt wrote:
>>>>
>>>>>On June 22, 1999 at 15:41:58, Howard Exner wrote:
>>>>>
>>>>>>I think different versions of Junior have logged in
>>>>>>40/2 tournament games against strong humans. Anyone have stats on these
>>>>>>results? I vaguely recall it doing quite well even on slower hardware.
>>>>>>
>>>>>>What is the time control for the upcoming Karpov - Shredder game?
>>>>>>
>>>>>>Slowly a collection of tournament condition
>>>>>>40/2 encounters will put to rest the speculation.
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>>Just so we follow formal 'sampling theory' here.  IE we do _not_ want to pick
>>>>>a good result by Junior without picking all the bad results.  Easier is to take
>>>>>these Rebel games and other acceptable games as they are played, rather than
>>>>>going back.  Because to sample backward you have to include _all_ the data
>>>>>points, else 'cherry-picking' will greatly bias the result...
>>>>
>>>>Following excerpt is from IM Larry Kaufman's review of Hiarcs 7
>>>>"HIARCS, by Applied Computer Concepts Ltd. with chess engine by British
>>>>programmer Mark Uniacke, has been one of the very strongest programs for the
>>>>last several years. The current version, 7.0, is apparently no exception. The
>>>>latest Swedish rating list (the most widely accepted standard for comparing
>>>>computer programs) ranks it third, just an insignificant 9 rating points behind
>>>>the co-leaders (CM 6000 and Fritz 5.32) and substantially ahead of the latest
>>>>rated versions of such strong programs as Junior, Rebel, MChess Pro, and Genius.
>>>>Moreover it is up an impressive 43 points from its predecessor, Hiarcs 6. To
>>>>fully appreciate just how strong Hiarcs 7 is, consider that its Swedish rating
>>>>of 2567 was earned on hardware (200 MHz MMX) markedly inferior to the latest
>>>>models (450-500 MHz). Moreover, the Swedish ratings are particularly severe,
>>>>almost certainly more conservative than FIDE ratings and far below USCF ratings.
>>>>These ratings are based on 40/2 games with other computers, with the overall
>>>>level of the list based on games with human competition some years ago. Although
>>>>I suspect that the level of the top computers may be a bit overstated now due to
>>>>failure to recalibrate the list based on today's GM level computers, this should
>>>>be offset by the severity of Swedish ratings in the past, so my guess is that
>>>>the 2567 rating at 200 MHz would hold up in FIDE competition today, which would
>>>>imply a FIDE rating over 2600 on today's fast machines. In other words, HIARCS 7
>>>>plays tournament chess on a par with the top five players in the U.S. This in
>>>>turn implies that at action chess (game/30') HIARCS 7 probably plays around 2700
>>>>FIDE level, on a par with the number ten player in the world, and should play
>>>>blitz better than Kasparov, Kramnik, and Anand."
>>>
>>>
>>>Larry is entitled to his opinion.  However, he was writing about 2400 programs
>>>in the days of the 486/33 too.  And while he can write about them, it doesn't
>>>mean that they are there yet.  Lets just wait for a while and see whether the
>>>gap widens (5 to 3 so far) or gets closer, or if the programs can actually pass
>>>the humans...
>>
>>Robert, my own personal opinion is that they are not at that level however I
>>always respect the rights of others to believe that they are. I honestly feel
>>that if computers were playing in high rated events say cat 15 and up that GM's
>>would eat them up after some heavy preparation against playing computers. Which
>>means if computers were allowed to participate in these events GM's would be
>>forced into preparation in the same way they now prepare lines for other GM's.
>>Sarah.
>
>You are right of course.  The folks that continually talk about programs at
>GM level don't know any GM players.  I've been trying to convince one of several
>GM players to maybe participate here in a discussion with everyone, because they
>can quickly explain just why programs are not there yet.  And if we could get
>a program into FIDE, where results are important, preparation would be a
>_serious_ problem...
>
>I think it will be hard to get a GM to discuss this however, because they _know_
>that the discussion will turn ugly when someone disagrees with them...

When I play my kind of advanced chess (playing whith a look at the score and
taking back moves when I think it's appropriate) I usually win. That would not
happen if I would play a grandmaster. So computers are at present no
grandmasters. Computers have often no idea about the position.

Another point: If you had a difficult position, would you prefer to give it to
fritz etc. or would you prefer a grandmaster to have a look at it.

Here is an easy position. How long takes your program to find a win for white?
FEN: 3k4/q7/3p/p2P1p/P2P1P///K6Q w

Kind regards
Bernhard
to analyze it for an hour



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