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Subject: Re: Fritz, next year.

Author: Peter Hegger

Date: 07:23:00 07/04/99

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On July 03, 1999 at 12:17:19, KarinsDad wrote:

>On July 03, 1999 at 03:56:53, Peter Hegger wrote:
>
>[snip]
>>
>>Imagine, at next years event "256 processor Fritz 7", in the spectator's gallery
>>giving analysis while it's little brother "Fritz 6" is playing Kasparov. While
>>the banned computer is glibly refuting moves for both sides, little Fritz is
>>being crushed. Would that be interesting? Not to me it wouldn't.
>>I would also be asking why on earth isn't the best machine playing instead of
>>kibitzing?
>>To me it makes little sense to hold new technology and improvements back for a
>>whole year just BECAUSE they are new technologies and improvements.
>>Regards
>>Peter
>
>I can understand your point of view.
>
>However, we are getting to a stage in computer chess development where we have
>never been before. New ground if you will.
>
>Programs have only within the last few years been able to compete successfully
>with superGMs at G30 type of speeds. The programs are about to pass the
>threshold, maybe within the next 5 years, of being able to beat anyone on the
>planet at any speed (with the possible exception of correspondence chess
>speeds).
>
>It is getting to the point that it does make a major difference from one version
>of a program to the next how well it will do at major tournaments. Hence, for
>the first time in history, we are coming up on an era where computers will rule
>the chess playing scene.
>
>This will result in a few changes:
>
>1) Advanced chess will be obsolete.
>2) Human/computer games, matches, and tournaments will be obsolete.

3) Correspondence chess will become obsolete. Just look at the USCF
correspondence rating list for confirmation that it is slowly happening already.

>So, with this understanding comes the idea of not doing things the status quo
>way. It is not an issue of humans being threatened by computers and protecting
>themselves. It is an issue of looking at the entire computer chess picture and
>wondering if the status quo still applies.
>
>1) Years ago, having a chess program in a tournament did not matter to the
>humans, so programs were allowed to play in most every tournament and nobody
>cared which version played.
>
>2) Today, having a chess program in a tournament matters to a lot of humans, so
>programs are allowed to play in extremely few tournaments.
>
>Now we are at a stage in our computer chess development where the above two
>statements can be modified to read:
>
>1) Years ago, having a chess program in a superGM tournament did not matter to
>the humans, so programs were allowed to play in most every tournament (but of
>course, they had problem qualifying, so they were not allowed) and nobody cared
>which version played.
>
>2) Today, having a chess program in a superGM tournament matters to a lot of
>humans, so programs are allowed to play in extremely few superGM tournaments.

Consider this. It matters to alot of human pro sports players too. I wouldn't
like it if I were a pitcher for the L.A. Dodgers and I found out that the team I
was about to pitch to acquired Ken Griffey Jr. and Sammy Sosa last night.
However, gripe as I might I would still have to face them.


>So, the idea that a given program consists of whatever software and hardware is
>running at a given point in time and that these elements can change and it is
>still considered the same program may be in the stages of becoming an obsolete
>idea as well.
>
>I am not saying that this is the way it has to be. I am just throwing out some
>ideas for other people to think about.
>
>
>And the answer to your question "I would also be asking why on earth isn't the
>best machine playing instead of kibitzing?" would be:
>
>The same reason that Deep Blue is not playing. Although Deep Blue is (was) the
>best machine on the planet, it did not qualify for the event and neither did
>Fritz 7.

We'll have to agree to disagree on this one. I suppose for me it's a matter of
wanting to see the best player fielded among all the contenders. In 5 or 10
years from now of course this will be irrelevent as computers will be mopping
the floor with the best humans. But for now its still close though and I think a
souped up Fritz would still have its hands full at next years Frankfurt giants.

>KarinsDad :)

Peter



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