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Subject: Re: 3.70..*10^46 is the upper bound

Author: Andrew Dados

Date: 15:56:43 07/12/99

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On July 12, 1999 at 18:50:31, KarinsDad wrote:

>On July 12, 1999 at 18:31:43, Andrew Dados wrote:
>
>>On July 12, 1999 at 18:23:45, Andrew Dados wrote:
>>
>>>On July 12, 1999 at 12:41:18, blass uri wrote:
>>>
>>>[snipped]
>>>
>>>>some numbers:
>>>>The upper bound:
>>>>3.70106301212072366*10^46
>>>>29 pieces on the board:2.18...*10^46
>>>>28 pieces on the board 9.45...*10^45
>>>>30 pieces on the board 4.58...*10^45
>>>>
>>>>Uri
>>>
>>> (Note that those 3 figures above add up to 3.9*10^46, which is somehow more
>>>then your total...)
>
>oops.
>
>This adds up to 3.583^46 which is less than Uri's 3.7^46. So far, so good.
>
>>>
>>> I will try to put my idea into small program as soon as I get some time, but
>>>for now let me describe it:
>>>   Let's take into account possible pawn configurations.
>>>For each file if no capture was done (32 pieces on board) we have 15 distinct
>>>positions for one white and one black pawn... which gives us 15^8 pawn
>>>configurations (2,526,890,625). This is many orders less then your bound there.
>>>   Now lets consider one capture. I'll mark P=pawn; O=other piece.
>>>We have 4 possibilities:
>>>
>>>1. OxO (piece captures piece) - no pawnstructure changes; still 15^8 pawn
>>>configurations; no promotions possible;
>>>2. PxP: up to 2 promotions can be done here:
>>>  2a) no promotions; pawn structure number can be estimated at 15^7*6*4;
>>>  2b) 1 prom; psn<=15^7*(6+4);
>>>  2c) 2 proms; psn<=15^6*6*6;
>
>Double oops.
>
>PxP allows for up to 3 promotions, 2 for the taking side and 1 for the taken
>side.
>
>KarinsDad :)
>
>>>3. OxP: a) 15^7*6 with no proms and
>>>        b) 15^7 with one promotion
>>
>>oops... this below should be PxO case...
>>
>>>4. PxP a) 15^7*6*4 with no proms;
>>>       b) 15^7*(6+4) and one prom
>>>       c) 15^6*6*6 and 2 proms...
>>> For second capture each of cases above breaks down further etc.... looks like
>>>mundane work, but smart program can surely be written.
>>> I think one should give it a try....
>>>
>>>One more thought: positions with, say,  0-0 castling availible are less then
>>>(1/48)*(1/48) of all positions (K is positioned on e1  in 1/48 of all
>>>positions), so neglible. EP can be available way more often, but still below 1/8
>>>of all positions.
>>>-Andrew-

 KarinsDad you're of course right... sometimes one has 3 minutes to put
not-well-thought idea on paper, and that's what it is...:).
-regards-
-Andrew-



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