Author: Peter Hegger
Date: 01:13:38 07/15/99
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On July 14, 1999 at 17:25:51, José de Jesús García Ruvalcaba wrote: >On July 14, 1999 at 15:13:59, Peter Hegger wrote: > >>Hello >>In 1989, at the world computer chess championship in Edmonton, David Levy asked >>participants: >>"In what year do you think a chess program will be able to defeat the human >>world champion?" >>Here are the answers. >>Year Names >>1992 Gyula Horvath, Monty Newborn >>1993 John McCarthy >>1994 Hans Berliner, Marty Hirsch, Feng-hsuing Hsu >>1995 Murray Campbell, Larry Kaufmann, David Kittinger, Danny Kopec, Donald >> Mitchie, David Slate, Mike Valvo >>1997 John Stanbeck >>1998 Kevin O'connell >>1999 Ed Felton, Tom Pronk, Sidney Samole, Claude Shannon, Jos Uiterwijk >>2000 Robert Hyatt, GM Kevin Spraggett, Victor Vikhrev, Jaap van den Herik >>2001 Jurg Nivergelt, Mark Taylor >>2002 IM Julio Kaplan >>2005 Richard Lang, Pierre Nolet, Ard van Bergen >>2008 Harry Nelson >>2010 Don Dailey, Ossi Weiner >>2011 Lars Hjorth >>2013 Tony Scherzer >>2014 David Levy >>2020 Tony Marsland >>2025 Dap Hartmann >>2030 Franz Morsch >>2040 Jonathan Schaeffer >>2050 Harm Bakker >>2056 Helmut Horacek >>NEVER David Cahlander >> >>The mean average of these predictions is the year 2005. > > How did you average the «NEVER»? You are right. I should have written that the mean average of these predictions (excluding the NEVER one)is the year 2005. >>I thought it might be interesting to formulate a new opinion poll question >>asking "In what year do you think a computer chess program will be able to >>defeat the human world champion in a 20 game 40/2 match?" >>Any feedback is welcome. >>Regards >>Peter
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