Author: Paulo Soares
Date: 15:57:27 07/15/99
Go up one level in this thread
On July 15, 1999 at 17:30:14, Robert Hyatt wrote: >On July 15, 1999 at 01:44:39, Paulo Soares wrote: > >>On July 14, 1999 at 16:25:12, Robert Hyatt wrote: >> >>>On July 14, 1999 at 15:13:59, Peter Hegger wrote: >>> >>>>Hello >>>>In 1989, at the world computer chess championship in Edmonton, David Levy asked >>>>participants: >>>>"In what year do you think a chess program will be able to defeat the human >>>>world champion?" >>>>Here are the answers. >>>>Year Names >>>>1992 Gyula Horvath, Monty Newborn >>>>1993 John McCarthy >>>>1994 Hans Berliner, Marty Hirsch, Feng-hsuing Hsu >>>>1995 Murray Campbell, Larry Kaufmann, David Kittinger, Danny Kopec, Donald >>>> Mitchie, David Slate, Mike Valvo >>>>1997 John Stanbeck >>>>1998 Kevin O'connell >>>>1999 Ed Felton, Tom Pronk, Sidney Samole, Claude Shannon, Jos Uiterwijk >>>>2000 Robert Hyatt, GM Kevin Spraggett, Victor Vikhrev, Jaap van den Herik >>>>2001 Jurg Nivergelt, Mark Taylor >>>>2002 IM Julio Kaplan >>>>2005 Richard Lang, Pierre Nolet, Ard van Bergen >>>>2008 Harry Nelson >>>>2010 Don Dailey, Ossi Weiner >>>>2011 Lars Hjorth >>>>2013 Tony Scherzer >>>>2014 David Levy >>>>2020 Tony Marsland >>>>2025 Dap Hartmann >>>>2030 Franz Morsch >>>>2040 Jonathan Schaeffer >>>>2050 Harm Bakker >>>>2056 Helmut Horacek >>>>NEVER David Cahlander >>>> >>>>The mean average of these predictions is the year 2005. >>>>I thought it might be interesting to formulate a new opinion poll question >>>>asking "In what year do you think a computer chess program will be able to >>>>defeat the human world champion in a 20 game 40/2 match?" >>>>Any feedback is welcome. >>>>Regards >>>>Peter >>> >>> >>>I'd answer 1998. I think DB would have beaten Kasparov in 20 games just >>>as it did in 6 games. He already had a fork stuck in him by game 5. He >>>was "done" I think... >> >>Robert, >> >>DB did not won Kasparov, I find more correct to place that >>Kasparov lost for DB. >> >>Paulo Soares, from Brazil > > >The game only has three states, win, lose and draw. DB had more "W's" than >Kasparov... To say in win, lose or draw, I believe that depends of the conditions of the games and the moves that had been played. In the case of this match, in my opinion, still is not proven that a computer can win the world champion. Paulo Soares
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