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Subject: Re: PREDICTION: GM's can draw 50% of games or more at 5 minutes vs comps if?

Author: Peter Kasinski

Date: 10:24:00 09/14/99

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On September 14, 1999 at 11:41:02, Ralf Elvsén wrote:

>On September 14, 1999 at 09:54:56, Robert Hyatt wrote:
>
>[snip]
>
>>
>>But I am always interested in such challenges, because I have been working on
>>this problem for a couple of years now, trying to stop the 'draw seekers' from
>>having success.  I've done pretty well at it too, but am always interested in
>>being shown where I have not done so well...
>>
>
>Just out of curiosity... :)
>
>What winning percentage would Crafty (or any competent program)
>get against a 1700-rated player in 40/2h ? To be more specific,
>what is the mamximum number of draws a "draw seeker" of that calibre
>can get? 1 out of 2? 1/5? 1/20?
>


Crafty + Quad Xeon/550 would *MAYBE* give up a draw in 100 games against a 1700
USCF opponent at 40/2hr.

On second thought I rather doubt that it would give up anything.
This is of course an opinion.

PK




>I would be happy with just an educated guess, preferably not only
>for your monster machine but also for a standard PC. I have a
>suspicion some people are greatly overestimating the programs abilities
>to create won positions...
>
>Regards, Ralf



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