Author: Bruce Moreland
Date: 19:17:23 10/11/99
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On October 11, 1999 at 21:25:30, Manuel Rodriguez Blanco wrote: >I am 1,000,000,000,000 % sure that IBM or Feng-Hsiung Hsu will not acept the >match offer of Rebel commpany, because they always demostrated that they victory >over one altered Kasparov was unexpected, they know perfectely that his program >and hardware (Deep Blue) get undeserved succes, so they are VERY AFRAID of show >DB again, that is the main reason that explain they big selfishness whe they >decide let the entire word without one more game of DB. I don't think that this corresponds with reality. IBM would gain nothing by reassembling that thing and playing against a micro. If they won, well, they were supposed to win. If they drew, they'd look stupid. If they lost, they'd look really stupid. A loss or draw would destroy all of the positive public perception that was the result of their match with Kasparov, and even a win would dampen some of it, because the public might believe that another computer *could* be as good, if it is even remotely interesting to have DB play against it. On the other hand, Ed would gain quite a bit any of these outcomes. So what this means is that IBM would have to be induced to take part in such a match. The inducement would have to be huge, I bet Ed could offer IBM a million dollars and they wouldn't do it. Everything I have heard indicates that *they* think they would do great against any micro, so I don't think it is a matter of fear, I think it is a matter of having nothing to gain and something significant to lose. There is no rational reason to play against a micro, setting yourself up as the bad guy in a David versus Goliath contest, when you've already beaten the human world champion at standard time controls. bruce
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