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Subject: Re: DB will never play with REBEL, they simple are afraid no to do well

Author: Bruce Moreland

Date: 19:17:23 10/11/99

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On October 11, 1999 at 21:25:30, Manuel Rodriguez Blanco wrote:

>I am 1,000,000,000,000 % sure that IBM or Feng-Hsiung Hsu will not acept the
>match offer of Rebel commpany, because they always demostrated that they victory
>over one altered Kasparov was unexpected, they know perfectely that his program
>and hardware (Deep Blue) get undeserved succes, so they are VERY AFRAID of show
>DB again, that is the main reason that explain they big selfishness whe they
>decide let the entire word without one more game of DB.

I don't think that this corresponds with reality.

IBM would gain nothing by reassembling that thing and playing against a micro.
If they won, well, they were supposed to win.  If they drew, they'd look stupid.
 If they lost, they'd look really stupid.  A loss or draw would destroy all of
the positive public perception that was the result of their match with Kasparov,
and even a win would dampen some of it, because the public might believe that
another computer *could* be as good, if it is even remotely interesting to have
DB play against it.

On the other hand, Ed would gain quite a bit any of these outcomes.

So what this means is that IBM would have to be induced to take part in such a
match.  The inducement would have to be huge, I bet Ed could offer IBM a million
dollars and they wouldn't do it.

Everything I have heard indicates that *they* think they would do great against
any micro, so I don't think it is a matter of fear, I think it is a matter of
having nothing to gain and something significant to lose.

There is no rational reason to play against a micro, setting yourself up as the
bad guy in a David versus Goliath contest, when you've already beaten the human
world champion at standard time controls.

bruce



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