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Subject: Re: DB will never play with REBEL, they simple are afraid no to do well

Author: Dann Corbit

Date: 19:34:02 10/11/99

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Not fear, just dollars and cents.

I don't think that any micro company really believes that they would win out
against Deep Blue.  However, suppose that the relative strengths are 2600 v
2900.  The expectancy of winning points is .15 for a difference of 300 ELO.  So
in a seven game match, something good is likely to happen for the Micro.  Maybe
a couple draws.  Maybe by some random fluke even a win.

The advertizing on the box would say:
"Our program managed a win against the strongest computer in the world"
Or
"Our program managed two ties against the strongest computer in the world"

Now, this really means that it totally got thrashed by an opponent 300 ELO
better than they are.  But most consumers will be basically ignorant about what
it means.  So it would be great PR for the micro company and terrible PR for the
mainframe company.

In short *it ain't gonna happen.*
IMO.  It would be great fun to watch in any case.  And if Hsu fitted Deepest
Blue with a couple thousand of his newly shrunk chips on the very latest RS/6000
with maximal memory, disk and I/O bandwidth (and full complement of 6 piece
tablebase files which they could generate in a couple days) nothing on earth
could possibly stand against it.  Period.



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