Author: Dann Corbit
Date: 21:53:11 10/15/99
Go up one level in this thread
On October 15, 1999 at 23:55:47, walter irvin wrote:
>does anyone care to speculate what elo the deep blue that defeated kasparov was
>playing at . i know it was too few games to pin down an exact elo . does anyone
>believe a micro program like fritz ect could win 1 in 5 games vs db ?? if db was
>on icc could it be beaten at blitz by ANY of the players there ??? i'm just
>curious as to what others think about this .
Let's suppose that a chess game has a real live ELO rating of x {whatever that
is}, and that deep blue has a rating of x+500.
In 100 games, the opponent would get 5 points (on average). One win and 4 draws
would not be astonishing in 100 games [in fact, something very much like that
would be expected]. A win could just happen to be the very first game played
(being equally likely to anywhere else in the sequence).
So the answer is yes. Even if computers have a real ELO of 2500 and even if
deep blue's real ELO is 3000 - then yes - Deep Blue could still lose to a PC
computer.
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