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Subject: Re: Tournaments-Tournaments !

Author: blass uri

Date: 05:33:27 11/20/99

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On November 20, 1999 at 03:30:53, Dann Corbit wrote:


<snipped>
>From what we have seen so far, all programs in the top 8 or so are peers in
>ability.  In other words, within one single standard deviation of uncertainty
>there is nothing to tell which is the stronger.  The mean value may be slightly
>higher for some programs, but unless you play a bazillion games, there really is
>not enough to separate them with mathematical certainty.

I believe that the standard deviation is based on wrong assumptions and the
rating of chess programs and humans is also based on wrong assumption.

I believe based on the result that tiger is clearly better than other programs
but I have no mathematical way to prove it because I have not a good model of
the chances to win in a chess game between computers.

The fact that part of the players do not have a learning function,part of the
players have a not aggresive learning function and part of the player have
an aggresive learning function makes the rating dependent on the opponents of
every program and on the number of games.

Uri



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