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Subject: Re: IBM's latest monster

Author: Robert Hyatt

Date: 11:31:17 12/07/99

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On December 07, 1999 at 09:02:37, Vincent Diepeveen wrote:

>On December 06, 1999 at 15:33:03, Robert Hyatt wrote:
>
>>On December 06, 1999 at 13:00:56, Georg v. Zimmermann wrote:
>>
>>>>A thousand fold increase would be
>>>>what, an additional 6 ply search in the same time?
>>>
>>>Lets do some math. 40^x = 1000,  40log 1000 = x, x = 10log1000 / 10log40, x =
>>>3/10log40 = 3 / 1.5 = 1.9
>>>
>>>I think it gets you "1.9 ply" deeper if you do brute force. Now we need someone
>>>to tell us how much that is if you add HT and other modern wunder drugs.
>>>But I would be very very suprised if you'd reach +6ply.
>>
>>
>>DB has an effective branching factor of roughly 6, about the same as Cray
>>Blitz, which didn't use R=2/recursive null move.  Log6(1000) is at most 4,
>>so it would get about 4 plies deeper.  Certainly nothing to sneeze at...
>
>see different post of me. DB may be happy with a b.f. from 10.33
>
>>But then again, this math is really wrong, because for each cpu, DB used
>>16 chess processors.  Each chess processor could search about 2.4M nodes per
>>second (they used almost 500 for DB2 the last match).  With one million
>>processors, they would then have 16M chess processors, and would be
>>searching about 40,000,000,000,000 nodes per second.  At about 1 billion
>>(max) for DB2, this would be 40,000 times faster.  and log6(40000) is 6,
>>so they could hit about 6 plies deeper.  Very dangerous box...
>
>the more processors the smaller the speedup. just attaching all processors
>to the search might take a few minutes.
>
>Note that HSU writes that they got very close to 1 billion positions a
>second but never hit the magic 1 billion positions a second number.
>
>Vincent


Sure....  hitting 1B is not easy when you have _just enough_ chess processors
to peak at 1B.  But to hit 1B requires perfect speed-matching between the
chess processors and the SP, which doesn't happen.  I think he said that the
chess processors were running at about 70% of max speed because of this.  And
he also claims 30% efficiency (in a linear way) in his parallel search.  Which
means that no matter how many processors he adds, he gets about 30% of each one.

As far as branching factor, he uses normal alpha/beta, so I have no idea where
you would get 10+.



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