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Subject: Re: Test suites - can they reliably predict ELO?

Author: Tina Long

Date: 22:16:01 12/11/99

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On December 11, 1999 at 19:46:50, Bertil Eklund wrote:

>On December 11, 1999 at 17:52:56, Tom King wrote:
>
>>Which of the well known test suites predicts the strength of chess programs most
>>accurately?
>>
>>I ask this, because I recently made some *slight* mods. to the evaluation
>>function in my program, Francesca. I ran the LCT-2 suite, and the results
>>indicated that it was a wash - the modification gave me about 5 ELO points,
>>apparently.
>>
>>I then ran a series of fast games against another amateur program. I realize
>>it's important to play a large number of games, to reduce the margin of error,
>>so I ran two matches of 65 games. The result was this:
>>
>>MATCH 1
>>"Normal" Francesca scored 37% against the amateur program.
>>
>>MATCH 2
>>"Modified" Francesca scored 45% against the amateur program.
>>
>>Quite a difference! It implies that the modification is worth over 50 ELO. I
>>guess I need to play more games, against a variety of programs to verify whether
>>this improvement is real, or imaginary.
>>
>>Anyhow, beware of reading too much into ELO predictions of test suites..
>>
>>Cheers All,
>>Tom
>
>Hi!
>
>Mr Irazoquis secret test-suite is very impressing! I think it´s about 111
>positions. He can predict a new programs strength better than any other test I
>have seen so far. If his predictions remains as good as his previous results, I
>hope we can stop publishing our list and just play for fun.
>
>Bertil SSDF

Hey!!!
Cut that out!!!

What if the Tennis people found a way to assess tennis players ability and rate
them.

Then all the great tennis players could play for fun on Saturday Afternoon and
we wouldn't lose our favourite tv programs for the tennis.

Please keep your matches going.

Thanks,
Tina



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