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Subject: statistically about 120-130pts

Author: Charles Unruh

Date: 18:36:38 12/22/99

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On December 22, 1999 at 20:05:34, John Warfield wrote:

>Hi
>
>  I think this is a nice game, Rebel actually outplays CM6555 tactically!
>However CM6555 won the match 4-2. I thought this score was surprising since
>Cm6555 ran on hardware much faster, I expected a six to 0 score.  Does anyone
>know what the rating difference would be based on these six games? I know it is
>to few games but what would a 4-2 score suggest?  70 Point difference?

Statistically about 120-130 points. 4-2 victory


Scoring Probability
      Difference in Points
                              Higher Rated
                                                     Lower Rated
              0
                                  0.500
                                                        0.500
             10
                                  0.514
                                                        0.486
             20
                                  0.529
                                                        0.471
             30
                                  0.543
                                                        0.457
             40
                                  0.557
                                                        0.443
             50
                                  0.571
                                                        0.429
             60
                                  0.585
                                                        0.415
             70
                                  0.599
                                                        0.401
             80
                                  0.613
                                                        0.387
             90
                                  0.627
                                                        0.373
             100
                                  0.640
                                                        0.360
             110
                                  0.653
                                                        0.347
             120
                                  0.666
>
>
>[Event "Match game 4"]
>[Site "USA"]
>[Date "1999.12.22"]
>[Round "?"]
>[White "CM6555Athlon 700"]
>[Black "Century K6-350"]
>[Result "0-1"]
>[WhiteElo "2500"]
>[BlackElo "2500"]
>[ECO "C77"]
>
>1. e4 e5 2. Nf3 Nc6 3. Bb5 a6 4. Ba4 Nf6 5. d4 exd4 6. O-O Be7 7. Re1 b5
>8. Bb3 d6 9. Bd5 Nxd5 10. exd5 Ne5 11. Nxd4 O-O 12. Nc3 Re8 13. Bf4 Bb7
>14. Bxe5 dxe5 15. Rxe5 Bf6 16. Rxe8+ Qxe8 17. Qd2 Rd8 18. Re1 Qf8 19. Nf5
>h6 20. a3 b4 21. Ne4 Bxb2 22. d6 Bxe4 23. Ne7+ Kh8 24. Qxb4 Bxa3 25. Qxe4
>Rxd6 26. Qf3 Bb4 27. c3 Rf6 28. Nf5 Bc5 29. c4 g6 30. Qc3 Bxf2+ 31. Kxf2
>Qg7 32. Re8+ Kh7 33. Kg3 Rxf5 34. Qxg7+ Kxg7 35. Ra8 a5 36. Ra6 Rc5 37.
>Kf3 Rxc4 38. Rxa5 Kf6 39. Ra8 h5 40. Rc8 h4 41. Re8 g5 42. Re2 c5 0-1



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