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Subject: Re: statistically about 120-130pts

Author: Graham Laight

Date: 07:46:30 12/23/99

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On December 23, 1999 at 08:46:04, Amir Ban wrote:

>>And the margin of error?
>>Paulo Soares, from Brazil
>
>4:2 ==> 121 +- 297 (95% confidence)
>
>Amir

So - applying this to DB v GK '97, if GK's rating is 2850, then our best guess
for DB's rating would be 2920 (3.5-2.5 --> Elo difference of about 70) - but we
can say, with 95% confidence, that it lies between 2623 and 3217.

-g



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