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Subject: Re: ply vs elo

Author: Chris Carson

Date: 09:11:39 01/06/00

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On January 06, 2000 at 11:58:00, walter irvin wrote:

>what does it take to defeat a GM in a 6 game match?????? what ply does the
>computer start pushing the GM back ????? to unify the guess it is nessisary to
>stick with 1 program .also to pick a program most people have , so i choose
>crafty .since every one is trying to figure out 40/2 hrs.lets figure what mhz is
>needed to reach the different ply at 40/2 hr .
>
>ply        elo             mhz              available         score vs GM
>1         1350              ?                 now                0-6
>2         1400              ?                 now                0-6
>3         1450              ?                 now                0-6
>4         1500              ?                 now                0-6
>5         1550              ?                 now                0-6
>6         1600              ?                 now                0-6
>7         1800              ?                 now                0-6
>8         2000              ?                 now                0-6
>9         2100              ?                 now                0-6
>10        2200              ?                 now                0-6
>11        2300              90 mhz +          now                0-6
>12        2400              133 mhz +         now                1-5
>13        2450              300 mhz +         now                1-5
>14        2500              450 mhz +         now                2-4
>15        2550              600 mhz +         now                2-4
>16        2600              2 ghz +           now w/multi proc   3-3
>17        2650              ?                 ??                 3-3
>18        2700              ?                 ??                 4-2
>19        2750              ?                 ??                 4-2
>20        2800              ?                 ??                 5-1
>21        2850              ?                 ??                 5-1
>22        2900              ?                 ??                 6-0
>
>this is my (guess) i think beyond 22 ply its over for man vs machine .

Interestng chart.  I can not wait to see the posts.  :)

My only comment is this.  In my opinion, the score is most likley
to reflect the difference in ratings between the two opponents.
Does this chart reflect that?  Check the FIDE or USCF ratings.
I will check when I get home tonight.  :)

I am no expert on ply vs elo vs mhz vs results.  But there are some
experts here and more than one book on the subject.  Take a look at
some stuff IM Kaufman has written (do a web search, look on the
resource page here, or on Aladin Chess).  Also, search Amazon.com
for related info.  I will post a couple of resources when I get home
tonight.  :)

Best Regards,
Chris Carson



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