Author: Ricardo Gibert
Date: 10:22:41 01/06/00
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On January 06, 2000 at 11:58:00, walter irvin wrote: >what does it take to defeat a GM in a 6 game match?????? what ply does the >computer start pushing the GM back ????? to unify the guess it is nessisary to >stick with 1 program .also to pick a program most people have , so i choose >crafty .since every one is trying to figure out 40/2 hrs.lets figure what mhz is >needed to reach the different ply at 40/2 hr . > >ply elo mhz available score vs GM >1 1350 ? now 0-6 >2 1400 ? now 0-6 >3 1450 ? now 0-6 >4 1500 ? now 0-6 >5 1550 ? now 0-6 >6 1600 ? now 0-6 >7 1800 ? now 0-6 >8 2000 ? now 0-6 >9 2100 ? now 0-6 >10 2200 ? now 0-6 >11 2300 90 mhz + now 0-6 >12 2400 133 mhz + now 1-5 >13 2450 300 mhz + now 1-5 >14 2500 450 mhz + now 2-4 >15 2550 600 mhz + now 2-4 >16 2600 2 ghz + now w/multi proc 3-3 >17 2650 ? ?? 3-3 >18 2700 ? ?? 4-2 >19 2750 ? ?? 4-2 >20 2800 ? ?? 5-1 >21 2850 ? ?? 5-1 >22 2900 ? ?? 6-0 > >this is my (guess) i think beyond 22 ply its over for man vs machine . I don't believe your chart is close to accurate at all. For instance, every doubling of cpu speed is worth about 50-70 rating points depending on who you ask and if you assume an EBF of 3 or 4, then... Besides that, extrapolating to the extrema is "extremely" dubious.
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