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Subject: Re: Kasparov is afraid

Author: Robert Hyatt

Date: 13:04:08 01/11/00

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On January 11, 2000 at 09:45:43, george petty wrote:

>
>
>  Look at the antitrust laws, designed to police unequal competition.
>
>  The case against I.B.M. was filed on January 17, l969.  It was one of the
>  longest and most complex court cases in history.

Actually probably not.  Don't forget _the_ AT&T suit, which shows what
happens when government do-gooders step over the boundary and start acting
like they know something important to everyone...  :)

But back up 10 years.  Univac owned the computer market.  They actually
had a bigger percentage of total installations than IBM did in their best
period.  But they blundered.  CDC did the same, by going after the wrong
market first, IMHO.




>
>  At one point in the early 60's,
>>Univac had close to 80% of the computer market.  They blundered it away
>>by sitting on an old architecture rather than doing something new.  IBM
>>didn't sit on the 1620 and 7090 type architectures, but went on to better
>>approaches.
>
>   Nonsence!  You are thinking in a vacuum, You need to be wiser it the ways
>  of the world and the importance of power.  The business world is not like the
> academic world.
>


At one point in the 1960's, Univac had the largest percentage of educational
installations as well.  During the 70's and 80's, Digital took the university
marketplace almost completely.  But IBM took the _big_ market, commercial
data processing.

>>
>>CDC did themselves in by attacking the scientific market, which they pretty
>>well owned.  IBM attacked the business market, which the CDC machines were
>>poorly suited for.  Unfortunately for CDC, the business market was _far_ bigger.
>>Seymour Cray left CDC after designing the Cyber 176 and formed his own company
>>to cater to the scientific market.  And Cray has done well there ever since,
>>but they knew up front that their market was much smaller than the business
>>data processing market.
>>
>>What does this all have to do with the deep blue project?
>
>
>   Ask Kasparov about that.  I am sure He is not as niave today as He once
>  was about I.B.M.
>
>   Another good book to take a look at by British writer Rex Milik in
> And Tomorrow...The world? inside I.B.M.


This is old stuff.  IBM isn't the industry leader any more, unfortunately.  They
are big, but not _nearly_ as big as they were in the 1970's...  When IBM chose
to ignore the PeeCee market, they blundered beyond belief.



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