Author: Luis E. Alvarado
Date: 20:35:03 01/11/00
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On January 11, 2000 at 21:41:01, Leon Stancliff wrote: I agree with you. The top programs will be in the top 100 list in a couple of years. Of course no matter what the computers performance is you are always going to find comments like: (1) The computers do not have GM norms (2) The GMs were very tired (3) These GMs were not very good (4) The GMs did not have breakfast (5) Their were not too interested (6) and ..... and ... and..... > In my opinion the question as to whether the top microcomputer programs can >play at grandmaster level has been answered. The average rating for the >opponents of Rebel Century in the twenty games actually played was 2510 Elo. The >average Mhz rating of the computers was 498. Rebel won by 11-9 which gave it >55%. > The point differential for 55% wins is 35. When we add 35 points to 2510 we >have 2545 Elo. Rebel Century does play at grandmaster level. The question now >will become, "Where does the top micro program rate among the world list of >grandmasters?" > An Elo rating of 2545 would place Rebel Century at the 219th position out of >652 living grandmasters. This places the program in the top third of the GM >list. The only real live question now is "How long will it be before the top >computers will among the top one hundred?" Will it happen within three years?
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