Author: Chessfun
Date: 12:07:52 01/15/00
Go up one level in this thread
On January 15, 2000 at 15:03:26, Frank Schubert wrote: >Hi everybody, > >40 games played by each program so far. Time to make some first statistics >of Enriques superb tournament: > ><pre> > >General Statistics: > >Games : 140 > >White Wins : 49 (35.0 %) >Black Wins : 30 (21.4 %) >Draws : 61 (43.6 %) > >White Perf. : 56.8 % >Black Perf. : 43.2 % > >ECO A = 14 Games (10.0 %) >ECO B = 35 Games (25.0 %) >ECO C = 17 Games (12.1 %) >ECO D = 41 Games (29.3 %) >ECO E = 33 Games (23.6 %) > > >Rating List: > > > Program Elo + - Games Score Av.Op. Draws > > 1 Junior 6.0 : 2665 101 74 40 60.0 % 2594 45.0 % > 2 Fritz 6a : 2641 96 86 40 63.7 % 2542 37.5 % > 3 Hiarcs 7.32 : 2615 111 75 40 52.5 % 2597 40.0 % > 4 Rebel-Tiger 12.0e : 2598 106 59 40 56.2 % 2554 57.5 % > 5 Shredder 4 : 2597 80 106 40 43.8 % 2640 37.5 % > 6 Nimzo 7.32 : 2592 76 102 40 41.2 % 2653 42.5 % > 7 Century : 2493 78 92 40 32.5 % 2619 45.0 % > ></pre> > >Shredder and Nimzo had the strongest opponents so far. Most of the draws >were played by Tiger (proportion 57.5 %). > >Elo calculation was done by iteration algorithm. >Margins of error roughly between 60 and 110 Elo's (given with 95 % confidence). >Distance between Junior and Nimzo is only 73 points. That means nearly >everything can happen during the next rounds. Only Century seems to be >"out of race", but compare the upper margin of Century (2493+78 = 2571) with >the lower margin of Fritz (2641-86 = 2555) and you see that Century can >still hope to reach a better rank. >Also consider the fact that for halving the error margins four times as much >games are necessary. Therefore I expect the margins to be slightly above >50 Elo's at the end of the tournament (120 games for each program). > >Finally the single statistics: > ><pre> > >(1) Junior 6.0 : 40 (+ 15,= 18,- 7), 60.0 % > >Shredder 4 : 20 (+ 6,= 10,- 4), 55.0 % >Nimzo 7.32 : 20 (+ 9,= 8,- 3), 65.0 % > > >(2) Fritz 6a : 40 (+ 18,= 15,- 7), 63.8 % > >Nimzo 7.32 : 20 (+ 6,= 9,- 5), 52.5 % >Century : 20 (+ 12,= 6,- 2), 75.0 % > > >(3) Hiarcs 7.32 : 40 (+ 13,= 16,- 11), 52.5 % > >Shredder 4 : 20 (+ 9,= 5,- 6), 57.5 % >Rebel-Tiger 12.0e : 20 (+ 4,= 11,- 5), 47.5 % > > >(4) Rebel-Tiger 12.0e : 40 (+ 11,= 23,- 6), 56.2 % > >Century : 20 (+ 6,= 12,- 2), 60.0 % >Hiarcs 7.32 : 20 (+ 5,= 11,- 4), 52.5 % > > >(5) Shredder 4 : 40 (+ 10,= 15,- 15), 43.8 % > >Junior 6.0 : 20 (+ 4,= 10,- 6), 45.0 % >Hiarcs 7.32 : 20 (+ 6,= 5,- 9), 42.5 % > > >(4) Nimzo 7.32 : 40 (+ 8,= 17,- 15), 41.2 % > >Junior 6.0 : 20 (+ 3,= 8,- 9), 35.0 % >Fritz 6a : 20 (+ 5,= 9,- 6), 47.5 % > > >(6) Century : 40 (+ 4,= 18,- 18), 32.5 % > >Fritz 6a : 20 (+ 2,= 6,- 12), 25.0 % >Rebel-Tiger 12.0e : 20 (+ 2,= 12,- 6), 40.0 % > ></pre> > > >Source: ELOStat 1.0 > > >If you found the results interesting I will post the new table after each round. > >Frank Very interesting, please do so Frank. Thanks.
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