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Subject: Re: New Cadaqués Statistics...

Author: Frank Schubert

Date: 01:29:06 01/17/00

Go up one level in this thread


On January 16, 2000 at 18:15:36, Amir Ban wrote:

>On January 16, 2000 at 17:50:33, Frank Schubert wrote:
>
>>...after 160 games. I added the result of Shredder - Century 13.5 - 6.5
>>(+11,=5,-4).
>>Here is the new Elo rating list (the old values are given in parentheses).
>>Again Elo calculation was performed by iteration procedure (start Elo 2600).
>>
>>
>>    Program                Elo  (old)    +   -   Games   Score    Av.Op.  Draws
>>
>>  1 Junior 6.0           : 2676 (2665)  101  74    40    60.00 %   2604   45.0 %
>>  2 Fritz 6a             : 2645 (2641)   96  86    40    63.75 %   2546   37.5 %
>>  3 Hiarcs 7.32          : 2624 (2615)  111  75    40    52.55 %   2606   40.0 %
>>  4 Shredder 4           : 2610 (2597)   90  66    60    51.67 %   2597   33.3 %
>>  5 Rebel-Tiger 12.0e    : 2603 (2598)  106  59    40    56.25 %   2558   57.5 %
>>  6 Nimzo 7.32           : 2599 (2592)   76 102    40    41.25 %   2660   42.5 %
>>  7 Century              : 2493 (2493)   73  73    60    32.50 %   2619   38.3 %
>>
>>
>>It is interesting to see that Century's rating did not change. Its Av.Op. is
>>also still the same. Therefore the result against Shredder fits very well with
>>Century's results before. Shredder increased its rating by 13 points up to 2610.
>>Due to the interdependencies of the iteration procedure the ratings of Shredders
>>opponents are also higher than before. And the ratings of the opponents of
>>Shredders opponents also increased. Hope I am not confusing you too much but
>>that's the way it works. You can simply check that the weighted average of all
>>ratings (weighted by the number of games) is still the same than it was before,
>>namely 2600.
>
>It's easy to see that this is not true. 6 ratings increased, and one stayed the
>same, so the average increased.
>
>Amir
>

You have to take the weighted average as I tried to explain above. Consider that
Shredder and Century played 60 games now, the other programs still 40.


>>Bye
>>Frank



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