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Subject: Re: next deep blue

Author: Alvaro Polo

Date: 03:14:19 01/23/00

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On January 23, 2000 at 02:51:55, Amir Ban wrote:

>On January 23, 2000 at 01:19:04, Bruce Moreland wrote:
>
>>On January 22, 2000 at 17:47:28, Robert Hyatt wrote:
>>
>>>They were searching about 100K nodes per second, according to Hsu.  yes, they
>>>do a lot more in their eval than what they could do if they ran on a PC and
>>>searched 100K nodes per second (this match was in 1995-96 time frame, which
>>>would have been roughly pentium pro 200 level machines for the PC side).  But
>>>regardless... if they searched only 100K, and they dominated the commercial
>>>programs as they have been reporting (again, 38-2 was reported) that says that
>>>whatever they are doing is pretty good...  as programs like fritz are way over
>>>100K on a P6/200...
>>
>>I think that those matches should be absolutely ignored because they weren't
>>played under controlled conditions, and they weren't played in public.
>>
>>There are enough places that mistakes could have been made, and enough estimates
>>that could be off, that for these data to be accepted upon faith is completely
>>ridiculous.
>>
>>The machine has existed for some time, and has had ample opportunity to display
>>its talents on the internet and in international tournaments.  However, we have
>>zero published games between a "full strength" DB Jr and any other program.
>>
>>For all I know it is a wonderful machine.  However, if anyone wants me to accept
>>that it is a wonderful machine, it is going to have to come out and play some
>>games, the idea that it should play all of its computer vs computer games behind
>>locked doors and that we should simply accept the results is just bullshit.
>>
>>Sorry.
>>
>>bruce
>
>The results can be disregarded on these grounds of course, but it's also true
>that the results, as reported, can be dismissed as being in contradiction to the
>DB/DT public record, and to common sense in general.
>
>Amir

I would like to make a question. Let's suppose that DBjr really beat the other
programs 38-2. Lets suppose that that means a supperiority of 400 elo. My
question is, do you believe this 400 elo would be maintained against humans? I
mean, perhaps comp-comp differences become exagerated, and 38-2 against
commercials wouldn't mean over 100-200 elo against humans. Do you believe it
would be possible?

Alvaro



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