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Subject: Re: next deep blue

Author: Robert Hyatt

Date: 19:42:43 01/23/00

Go up one level in this thread


On January 23, 2000 at 20:40:08, Chris Carson wrote:

>On January 23, 2000 at 17:23:23, José de Jesús García Ruvalcaba wrote:
>
>>On January 23, 2000 at 12:46:36, Robert Hyatt wrote:
>>
>>[big snip]
>>>Deep Thought's processor was a 1987 piece of hardware.  By 1995 it had proven
>>>itself to perform at a GM level, with three numbers you can choose from.  An
>>>official USCF rating of 2551 over almost 50 games.  A TPR over its best 25
>>>consecutive games of 2650.  And finally if you only count deep thought games
>>>without the first few which had horrible hardware problems, it had a TPR of
>>>2590.
>>>
>>>All are impressive.  _all_ are 1986 hardware (the single processor version,
>>>called "chiptest" first played in the 1986 ACM tournament.)
>>>
>>>So 1986 hardware produced a true GM-level machine, based on enough games that it
>>>can't be considered a fluke or accident.
>>>
>>
>>	Sorry Bob, but I definitely do not consider these achievements as "true
>>GM-level". Feel free to disagree.
>>
>>>Today, Rebel is trying to produce the same result, on hardware that is 14 years
>>>newer.  It is _very_ close to 2500. It isn't as close to 2650 (by taking the
>>>best 25 games vs humans).  But it might make 2500 by the Summer with a little
>>>luck.
>>>
>>
>>	Rebel is playing against FIDE rated players. The 2650 you mention is USCF.
>>
>>>With the above data, how far _ahead_ of Rebel (in terms of time) would you say
>>>DB-2 is?  Rebel has yet to do what 1986 hardware has done.  No other program
>>>has yet produced a GM-class rating over 25 games.  My guess is, as it always has
>>>been, at _least_ 10 years behind.
>>>
>>>We can discuss any of the above that you like, of course...
>>>
>>>We have DT's results documented quite well.  We have (thanks to Enrique)
>>>Rebel's results so far.  A few more months will push this to 25 solid
>>>games...  1986 vs 1999 hardware.  fairly close comparison in performance.
>>>
>>>Of course, we have the problem of the 1997 version of the Hardware to deal
>>>with. :)
>
>Good points.  DT ratings are USCF, today commercials are FIDE.
>
>IMHO:  FIDE ratings = USCF - 100, I will keep as my opinion
>until I can locate the source I got this from.  I have heard
>this a lot, so please feel free to help out and point me in
>the right direction.  :)
>
>Best Regards,
>Chris Carson


try hitting www.cis.uab.edu and going to faculty and then "ken sloan".  He used
to have some good data on this.  At the 2500+ end of the scale, ratings are not
FIDE=USCF+100.  It was much lower...



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