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Subject: Re: next deep blue

Author: Ernst A. Heinz

Date: 11:18:25 01/24/00

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>Berliner reported in a HiTech paper that when he tried testing at very shallow
>depths it broke his program because his eval assumed a certain basic search
>depth to find some simple tactics...  and when he ran the "hitech vs lotech"
>tests to try to predict rating per ply increases, he saw this.  I don't think
>it is possible to just re-do DB in a PC disguise.  I think Hsu would start over
>and end up with something pretty similar to what everybody else has.  Evolution
>has not brought us all to the same 'neighborhood' accidentally...

Bob,

The "Hitech vs. Lotech" experiment is totally inconclusive because
Berliner et al. only played 16 games for each iteration depth that
they considered.

I have extensively analyzed all published self-play experiments in
computer chess, computer checkers, and computer Othello. None of
them present any conclusive, i.e., statistically confident evidence
for anything because nobody ever played enough games.

For further details please see Chapter 9 of my book "Scalable Search
in Computer Chess" and my paper "Self-Play experiments in computer
chess revisited" which I presented at ACC-9/ACG-9, June 1999 in
Paderborn during the WCCC.

Cheers,

=Ernst=

P.S.
"Scalable Search in Computer Chess" now at Amazon.de and MKP online.
http://www.amazon.de/exec/obidos/ASIN/3528057327/
http://www.mkp.com/books_catalog/3-52805-732-7.asp  :-)

Please visit http://supertech.lcs.mit.edu/~heinz/node1.html for more
information about the book.



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