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Subject: Fred wins Wijk?!

Author: Frederic Friedel

Date: 01:36:04 01/28/00

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On January 27, 2000 at 22:55:51, Michael Neish wrote:

>Anyone could do this in a few minutes.  I ran a Cadaques-style tournament
>between seven fictitious computer programs, i.e., seven programs play each other
>over matches consisting of 20 games each, 420 games in total for the whole
>tournament.
>
>I made the following assumptions:
>
>1)  The computers are all of equal strength.
>
>2)  The probability of a win, draw or loss are one-third each.
>

I did exactly the same for me, Kasparov, Anand and Kramnik. Turns out that each
of us wins approximately the same number of times. A real eye-opener. Damn, I
should have entered Wijk aan Zee -- my chances would have been just as good as
anybody else's.



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