Author: Frederic Friedel
Date: 15:08:58 01/28/00
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On January 28, 2000 at 11:47:17, Djordje Vidanovic wrote: >On January 28, 2000 at 04:36:04, Frederic Friedel wrote: > >>On January 27, 2000 at 22:55:51, Michael Neish wrote: >> >>>Anyone could do this in a few minutes. I ran a Cadaques-style tournament >>>between seven fictitious computer programs, i.e., seven programs play each other >>>over matches consisting of 20 games each, 420 games in total for the whole >>>tournament. >>> >>>I made the following assumptions: >>> >>>1) The computers are all of equal strength. >>> >>>2) The probability of a win, draw or loss are one-third each. >>> >> >>I did exactly the same for me, Kasparov, Anand and Kramnik. Turns out that each >>of us wins approximately the same number of times. A real eye-opener. Damn, I >>should have entered Wijk aan Zee -- my chances would have been just as good as >>anybody else's. > >Brilliant! Count me in! Darn, had I entered too does that mean that our >respective chances for winning the Wijk would've been halved or quartered --- I >tend to get confused with statistics? > Funny, I ran the simulation with me, GK, VA, VK and DV. I made the assumption that all were of equal strength and played ten 10,000x round robins. Vidanovich didn't come first once (I won twice). Maybe I should switch to 100,000x round robins?! Djordje, I'm off to Wijk, so I'll be out of touch for a few days. What do you think of the kids? None of them has lost a single game. Tomorrow its GK-VK. It's going to be fun.
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