Author: Enrique Irazoqui
Date: 03:31:48 01/29/00
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On January 29, 2000 at 00:42:56, Christophe Theron wrote: >On January 28, 2000 at 14:25:11, liam hearns wrote: > >>such nonsence ,look at the quality of the games of junior who is likely to win >>by a large margin,it has a better grasp of position and tactics and that is why >>it has performed so well.If the quality of these programs were similer in >>content there might be substance in this statement,but if you go over the games >>,junior is on a level above anything else.as for statistics they can prove >>anything you want them to prove.e.g all elephants are grey,and all elephants are >>animals,therefore all animals are elephants! > > >That's right. If you understand nothing to statistics, they can be used to fool >you. > >So you'd better try to understand them, just a little bit. This little bit is not enough. It takes much more to get to understand statistics. >But it's your life, after all. Come on, Christophe, this is a bit too much. We can be fooled in very many ways and it is extremely difficult to avoid it by getting to understand well enough statistics, economics, politics, sociology, biochemistry, physics, history, you name it. As a former economist I can tell you the wonders that economists and politicians have done and can do with statistics in order to create a set of believes. We all tend to move in a set of intuitions and believes, and so do you. It is your life too and you can fight it rationally to a very small degree. I try to avoid saying "I believe" instead of "I think", because I want to know and not to believe, but behind this there is more than anything the pretension to know. The Renaissance man doesn't exist. Enrique > Christophe
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