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Subject: Re: Looks like a win to me (and the analysis you posted supports this)

Author: Dave Gomboc

Date: 15:34:39 02/05/00

Go up one level in this thread


On February 05, 2000 at 02:10:17, Dann Corbit wrote:

>On February 05, 2000 at 02:03:54, Peter Kappler wrote:
>>On February 05, 2000 at 01:19:37, Dann Corbit wrote:
>>
>>>On February 05, 2000 at 01:08:14, Peter Kappler wrote:
>>>
>>>>On February 04, 2000 at 20:21:48, Dann Corbit wrote:
>>>>
>>>>>Here is the crafty log after 15 plies have completed.  Of course, the ce score
>>>>>is pretty much a bunch of hooey, since it is a draw.
>>>>
>>>>
>>>>Dann,
>>>>
>>>>This position looks like a win to me.  You're right that White needs to exchange
>>>>rooks, but I think it's highly unlikely that this can happen.  Black is very
>>>>much in control in this position, and should easily win the two pawns, leading
>>>>to a KRNN vs KR endgame, which I think must be a win.
>>>>
>>>>As for the analysis you posted - I can only assume that you didn't look very
>>>>closely at the final variation.
>>>
>>>Quite so, I only looked at what the other run had produced.  In any case, I
>>>won't believe any extrapolation.  It depends completely on how it is played.
>>>
>>
>>Well of course, but this is true of just about any position in chess.  My point
>>is that the best analysis we currently have suggests that Black is winning.
>>
>>Earlier you seemed certain the position was drawn, even calling Crafty's -7
>>score "hooey".  Now, a deeper line points towards a win, and you call it an
>>"extrapolation"?  What gives?
>>>
>That was one hour on a PIII 500 MHz.  I wonder if:
>1.  It would really play out like that
>2.  The correct response would be found at the time control of the contest.
>I think it came from Enrique's contest, which is one minute per move.
><<
>
>>>
>>>Like I said (somewhere else) it could be a win/loss/draw for either party.
>>>
>>
>>Theoretically, yes.  Practically, no way.
>>
>>It's essentially impossible for a commercial-quality program to lose that
>>position as Black.  For Enrique's purposes, there are only two results worth
>>considering: a draw, or a win for Black.
>
>Stranger things have happened.  Especially at fast time controls like that.

IMO the programs would have to move every few hundredths of a second before the
side up two knights for two pawns could conceivably completely blow that
position.

Dave



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