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Subject: Re: Some thougths about statistics

Author: Dann Corbit

Date: 02:16:48 02/24/00

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ELO is self adjusting.

Programs that learn will rise in ELO.

Programs that repeat the same mistakes will drop in ELO.

This is as it should be.  Just like a human who learns.  They are not static in
ability either.  Each game is a pinpoint in the sea of data.  After each
measurement, both pinpoints are disturbed.  Neither sits where it was before.

It could well be said that ELO tells us nothing about a contest between machines
A and B of well-known ELO a-priori.

It only tells us what a probable outcome should be.  Not what will be.





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