Author: Chris Carson
Date: 05:41:23 02/29/00
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On February 29, 2000 at 01:13:38, Georg Langrath wrote: >I tink that you can measure the speed of a analyze in nods per second. When will >a pc be comabarable with Deep Blue with that increasing in hardware every year >that is now? I think that it must be so some time in future. > >Georg Deep Blue was a great accomplishment. Deep Blue was also a multiprocessor system. It is possible to put 1000 (or more) Intel processors together in a multiprocessor configuration and get (in my opinion) close to or more computing power than Deep Blue had. So, in my humble opinion, you could construct a system using Intel chips and get a comparable Deep Blue or faster system. The cost would be high. :) If computing continues to double every 18 months, then in six years, we would only need 64 chips and in 9 years, only 16 chips, in 12 years only 4 chips. I think other factors such as memory speed, bus speed, and program improvements will get us to a single chip having the highest rating in tournament play against humans in less than 10 years (perhaps the 10th aniversary of the first Deep Blue vs Kasparov match, 7 years in 2006). :) I am basing this on a starting point of Intel 500 MHZ and we are not far from 1GHZ now, thus the first 1.5 year doubling cycle is almost over. :) Just my opinion. :) Best Regards, Chris Carson
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