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Subject: Re: When will a pc be as fast as Deep Blue?

Author: Robert Hyatt

Date: 05:42:36 02/29/00

On February 29, 2000 at 01:13:38, Georg Langrath wrote:

>I tink that you can measure the speed of a analyze in nods per second. When will
>a pc be comabarable with Deep Blue with that increasing in hardware every year
>that is now? I think that it must be so some time in future.
>
>Georg

Not easy to answer, but I would guess that the speed of deep blue is about
1,000 times faster than the fastest program of today, based on the fastest
program going 1M nodes per second, while DB could peak at 1B nodes per
second.  It averaged about 200M, but then it also had some complex eval stuff
that would slow that 1M nps program down by a factor of 5-10 probably

If you assume 1000x, with a doubling of machine speed every year (which is
very optimistic) then it will take about 10 years to catch up.

all of that analysis has lots of assumptions, however...

Re: When will a pc be as fast as Deep Blue? Ed Panek 08:40:46 02/29/00
- Re: When will a pc be as fast as Deep Blue? Robert Hyatt 14:32:29 02/29/00
  - Re: When will a pc be as fast as Deep Blue? Graham Laight 04:37:55 03/01/00
    - Re: When will a pc be as fast as Deep Blue? Tom Kerrigan 20:37:30 03/01/00
      - Multiprocessor PCs - You've ALL Missed The Point! Graham Laight 04:04:58 03/02/00
        
        Re: Multiprocessor PCs - You've ALL Missed The Point! Robert Hyatt 07:08:43 03/02/00
        
        Multiprocessor - Work In A Hiararchy Instead Of Using Shared Memory? Graham Laight 04:28:52 03/03/00
        
        Re: Multiprocessor - Work In A Hiararchy Instead Of Using Shared Memory? Robert Hyatt 05:15:29 03/03/00
    - Re: When will a pc be as fast as Deep Blue? Pete Galati 11:43:39 03/01/00
      - Re: When will a pc be as fast as Deep Blue? Robert Hyatt 17:22:09 03/01/00
        
        Re: How many Quad users at CCC? Pete Galati 17:48:05 03/01/00
        
        Re: How many Quad users at CCC? Robert Hyatt 19:17:30 03/01/00
        
        Re: How many Quad users at CCC? Vincent Vega 22:00:42 03/02/00
        
        Re: How many Quad users at CCC? Robert Hyatt 05:17:34 03/03/00
        
        Does Windows 2K Have Multiprocessor Support? Graham Laight 04:34:28 03/03/00
        
        Re: Does Windows 2K Have Multiprocessor Support? Peter Kasinski 06:54:04 03/03/00
        
        Re: Does Windows 2K Have Multiprocessor Support? Yes! Dan Andersson 06:14:58 03/03/00
        
        Re: Does Windows 2K Have Multiprocessor Support? Robert Hyatt 05:18:08 03/03/00
        
        Re: How many Quad users at CCC? Eugene Nalimov 19:36:18 03/01/00
        
        Re: How many Quad users at CCC? Pete Galati 14:34:01 03/02/00
        
        Re: How many Quad users at CCC? Robert Hyatt 15:30:21 03/02/00
        
        Re: How many Quad users at CCC? Pete Galati 16:22:12 03/02/00
        
        Re: How many Quad users at CCC? Robert Hyatt 18:44:43 03/02/00
        
        Re: How many Quad users at CCC? Pete Galati 21:16:55 03/02/00
        
        Re: How many Quad users at CCC? Eugene Nalimov 14:52:20 03/02/00
        
        Re: How many Quad users at CCC? Pete Galati 16:28:22 03/02/00
  - Re: When will a pc be as fast as Deep Blue? Dann Corbit 15:00:39 02/29/00
    - Re: When will a pc be as fast as Deep Blue? Pete Galati 16:33:49 02/29/00

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