Author: Ed Panek
Date: 08:40:46 02/29/00
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On February 29, 2000 at 08:42:36, Robert Hyatt wrote: >On February 29, 2000 at 01:13:38, Georg Langrath wrote: > >>I tink that you can measure the speed of a analyze in nods per second. When will >>a pc be comabarable with Deep Blue with that increasing in hardware every year >>that is now? I think that it must be so some time in future. >> >>Georg > > >Not easy to answer, but I would guess that the speed of deep blue is about >1,000 times faster than the fastest program of today, based on the fastest >program going 1M nodes per second, while DB could peak at 1B nodes per >second. It averaged about 200M, but then it also had some complex eval stuff >that would slow that 1M nps program down by a factor of 5-10 probably > >If you assume 1000x, with a doubling of machine speed every year (which is >very optimistic) then it will take about 10 years to catch up. > >all of that analysis has lots of assumptions, however... Unless there is some incredible watershed breakthrough in processor technology Ed
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