Author: Ed Schröder
Date: 22:42:43 03/01/00
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On March 01, 2000 at 20:52:52, Jonathan Lee wrote: >Thanks, Pete on IBM's logic on their selling of chess software. If their >software was awesome, they already would have a large share against the top >guns. > >Someday said every 18 months the hardware doubles in speed. >Someone else said IBM's hardware "DB" is 1000 times faster than the 500MHZ PIII. >In the year 2015, (what a bold prediction) PC's will be as fast as Deep Blue. >Do the math: >2 ^ 10 = 1024 (twice the speed 10 times equals about 1000 times faster) > >18 * 10 = 180 (18 months multiplied by ten times equals 180 months) > >180 months equals 15 years > >2000 + 15 = 2015 (We are now in the year 2000; add 15 years and you will get >2015) What about today? Nowadays programs hit a deeper ply depth than DB. See the log files on the IBM site. Ed
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