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Subject: Re: DJ DF 11.5-10.5 with two games to go

Author: John Dahlem

Date: 16:27:55 04/30/01

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On April 30, 2001 at 19:16:24, Robert Raese wrote:

>On April 30, 2001 at 19:08:19, John Dahlem wrote:
>
>>On April 30, 2001 at 19:06:44, Dann Corbit wrote:
>>
>>>On April 30, 2001 at 18:59:08, Torstein Hall wrote:
>>>
>>>>On April 30, 2001 at 15:33:25, Jonas Cohonas wrote:
>>>>
>>>>>IMO Fritz 7 comeback looks a little too convenient and takes out any excitement
>>>>>for me i would not be surprised if they tie and have to playoff in a dramatic
>>>>>fashion for the right to beat up kramnik.
>>>>>
>>>>>Regards
>>>>>Jonas
>>>>
>>>>What could be more exiting than a close match? Or do you realy think they are
>>>>cheating for comersial reasons??! I doubt that programmers like Amir Ban or
>>>>Franz Mors would agree to something like that!
>>>>
>>>>I for one feel Fritz will go on to win the match!
>>>
>>>Seems improbable.  That would require a 2-0 finish.
>>
>>
>>Well, what specifically is the probability, math man?
>
>if the math were capable of predicting, we would not need to hold the playoff.
>:)

anyone is capable of predicting, but since I have no idea of statistics and Dann
seems to be quite knowledgeble,  I figured he could predict a much more accurate
prediction than I. BTW, yes, I am impatient by nature but I also thought it
would be neat to know the probability (which as I understand it is the chance of
something happening, not whether or not it will) of Fritzie taking two away from
DJ.



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