Author: Torstein Hall
Date: 17:30:31 04/30/01
Go up one level in this thread
On April 30, 2001 at 19:27:55, John Dahlem wrote: >On April 30, 2001 at 19:16:24, Robert Raese wrote: > >>On April 30, 2001 at 19:08:19, John Dahlem wrote: >> >>>On April 30, 2001 at 19:06:44, Dann Corbit wrote: >>> >>>>On April 30, 2001 at 18:59:08, Torstein Hall wrote: >>>> >>>>>On April 30, 2001 at 15:33:25, Jonas Cohonas wrote: >>>>> >>>>>>IMO Fritz 7 comeback looks a little too convenient and takes out any excitement >>>>>>for me i would not be surprised if they tie and have to playoff in a dramatic >>>>>>fashion for the right to beat up kramnik. >>>>>> >>>>>>Regards >>>>>>Jonas >>>>> >>>>>What could be more exiting than a close match? Or do you realy think they are >>>>>cheating for comersial reasons??! I doubt that programmers like Amir Ban or >>>>>Franz Mors would agree to something like that! >>>>> >>>>>I for one feel Fritz will go on to win the match! >>>> >>>>Seems improbable. That would require a 2-0 finish. >>> >>> >>>Well, what specifically is the probability, math man? >> >>if the math were capable of predicting, we would not need to hold the playoff. >>:) > >anyone is capable of predicting, but since I have no idea of statistics and Dann >seems to be quite knowledgeble, I figured he could predict a much more accurate >prediction than I. BTW, yes, I am impatient by nature but I also thought it >would be neat to know the probability (which as I understand it is the chance of >something happening, not whether or not it will) of Fritzie taking two away from >DJ. I can see 5 possible outcomes 2-0, 1.5-0.5, etc. etc. If we asume equal strenght it should give 20% chanse. hmff. It must be very late..... This is probably bad statistics as each game has tree possible outcomes and that works out like 0.33* 0.33 = 0,1089 = 11% for a 2 - 0 victory for each side. Torstein If Fritz wins after a playoff it still wins the match though, but its to late to calculate more ZZzzzzZZzzzzzzz
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