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Subject: Re: Some analysis of Deep Fritz for kasparov-deeper blue first game

Author: Robert Hyatt

Date: 11:29:05 05/07/01

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On May 07, 2001 at 12:40:22, Uri Blass wrote:

>
>For me difference of more than +2 in the evaluation of Deeper blue and Crafty is
>convincing.
>
>I am not talking about the difference of 1.7 and 1.4.
>There is even a difference of more than 1 pawn between Deep Fritz's evaluation
>and Crafty's evaluation but Fritz can find the right pv.

Just listen to what you just said.  There is a difference of more than one pawn
but DF has the right PV.  With DB you can _not_ see the PV.  The first moves
are probably reasonable.  The moves at the end might or might not be reasonable,
and the last 6 plies + extensions + captures are not seen _ever_.

Which simply shows that you can _not_ compare DB to _anything_ without all the
information...




>
>I cannot say 1.7 of Crafty is better than 1.4 of Deeper blue but I can say that
>4.x of Crafty and 3.x of other programs are better than 1.x of deeper blue and
>the evaluation of deeper blue was 1.x if you look at depth 15(the depth that
>Crafty found the line with Ke3)

Count the pieces on the board, then look at king safety, and everything else.
Then you can _guess_ at what DB was evaluating compared to Crafty and the other
micro programs.  But you can only _guess_.  You are assuming they are seeing
_less_.  What if they are seeing _more_???  How can you tell they aren't?  You
can't.  It is _all_ a guess...




>
>I am almost sure that Crafty can beat Deeper blue if Crafty searches the same
>depthes that deeper blue searched and my guess is that Crafty on an alpha is
>clearly better than deeper blue.
>
>Uri


Not a chance.  It would be competitive, but only competitive, in that it would
not get run off the board in a match.  It would lose decisively however...

I ran a 10 game set vs Cray Blitz about a year ago (right after I first got the
quad xeon).  I did it as a favor for someone wanting to test a T90 for
comparison to something I can't mention.  I played the games at a time control
of 60 moves in 30 minutes.  Cray Blitz won 6 and drew 3.  There were only a
couple of games that were tactical busts...  most were just endgame losses where
the Cray searched incredibly deep with its speed advantage...

I call that a pretty decisive result.  And that same program got stomped by the
predecessor of Deep Blue.  So no, I wouldn't say Crafty would have any real
chance today.  In another couple of years, perhaps, as hardware keeps improving.
But the speed gap is simply too wide at the moment.



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