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Subject: Re: Pouring oil on the fire

Author: Gian-Carlo Pascutto

Date: 08:19:15 06/16/01

Go up one level in this thread


On June 16, 2001 at 11:11:01, Mark Young wrote:

>>>The problem with discussing this issue is some do not understand what ratings
>>>are, and how they work. As when Bob stated all players in the ratings pool must
>>>play each other a equal number of times for the rating system to be accurate.
>>>This is just incorrect. Thing start to become more ridiculous from there.
>>
>>It's an overstatement.
>
>No Dann the statment is just wrong. If you have two established players in the
>ratings pool that have never played each other before the system can and does
>predict accurately 1. Who the stronger player will be. 2. The dominace of the
>stronger one over the other.

It will give an approximation for 1 and 2 in the general case.

In no way is it guaranteed that the ratings system will provide an
_accurate_ prediction for either.

There are way to many factors involved to allow this for specific cases.
On the average it will be right yes, but if you look at the individual
cases it will be off a lot too.

--
GCP



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