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Subject: Re: No more Excuses Dr. Hyatt, you said if Fritz beats Huebner then C =GM

Author: Terry McCracken

Date: 13:50:03 07/16/01

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On July 16, 2001 at 16:10:43, Bruce Moreland wrote:

>On July 15, 2001 at 21:20:34, Terry McCracken wrote:
>
>>Hmmmm... I 've thought about this as well, will computers push the best beyond
>>the " 2900 Barrier "?  It may indeed aid humans to achieve this level of play,
>>but there is a human limit and 2900 might be it? I'll be optimistic, 3000 could
>>be the human limit?;)
>>
>>Well computers will almost definately break the " 3000 Barrier " and beyond!
>>
>>Terry
>
>Let's go back some years and make a primitive steam shovel.  At the point where
>it starts to become practical, which is the point where it starts to do the work
>of a team of men, at about the same speed and expense, there is a brief period
>of debate about how the machine compares against the man, now, whether the trend
>will continue, and what will happen when it does.
>
>If you fast-forward to now, obviously mechanical shovels can do a very good job
>more quickly and more cheaply than a team of men.  There is no contest anymore.
>
>We're in this situation with chess now.  The only reason we're having this big
>debate is that it is close.
>
>But the trend is obviously and clearly toward computers surpassing humans.  It
>should be very obvious that it's theoretically possible, since chess is a finite
>game and it can theoretically be computed clear out to mate.
>
>So enjoy the relative proximity of strength now, while it lasts.  Soon it will
>be gone forever.
>
>bruce

I agree, and that time is approaching fast!
By the end of this decade it would not surprise me if the fastest computers,
will outperform the best GM's in  every aspect of chess.
No, they won't be "creative" or "plan" like a human GM but that will be
compensated by both advancements in programming and hardware.

IBM gave us a _taste_ of things to come!

Terry



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