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Subject: Re: No more Excuses Dr. Hyatt, you said if Fritz beats Huebner then C =GM

Author: Bruce Moreland

Date: 13:10:43 07/16/01

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On July 15, 2001 at 21:20:34, Terry McCracken wrote:

>Hmmmm... I 've thought about this as well, will computers push the best beyond
>the " 2900 Barrier "?  It may indeed aid humans to achieve this level of play,
>but there is a human limit and 2900 might be it? I'll be optimistic, 3000 could
>be the human limit?;)
>
>Well computers will almost definately break the " 3000 Barrier " and beyond!
>
>Terry

Let's go back some years and make a primitive steam shovel.  At the point where
it starts to become practical, which is the point where it starts to do the work
of a team of men, at about the same speed and expense, there is a brief period
of debate about how the machine compares against the man, now, whether the trend
will continue, and what will happen when it does.

If you fast-forward to now, obviously mechanical shovels can do a very good job
more quickly and more cheaply than a team of men.  There is no contest anymore.

We're in this situation with chess now.  The only reason we're having this big
debate is that it is close.

But the trend is obviously and clearly toward computers surpassing humans.  It
should be very obvious that it's theoretically possible, since chess is a finite
game and it can theoretically be computed clear out to mate.

So enjoy the relative proximity of strength now, while it lasts.  Soon it will
be gone forever.

bruce



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