Author: Terry McCracken
Date: 18:20:34 07/15/01
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On July 15, 2001 at 14:54:52, Uri Blass wrote: >On July 15, 2001 at 12:37:02, Terry McCracken wrote: > >>On July 15, 2001 at 11:36:39, Otello Gnaramori wrote: >> >>>On July 15, 2001 at 10:57:47, Terry McCracken wrote: >>> >>>>On July 15, 2001 at 07:58:10, odell hall wrote: >>>> >>>>Give both technology and programming another 5 years and I believe by then we'll >>>>have _solid_ GM 2600+ chess playing monsters! >>>> >>>>Terry >>> >>>That is truly an interesting point. >>>If it is just a matter of time let's just wait and see. >>>But probably Terry you are omitting some interesting signals coming from >>>Argentina. IMHO it is a sign that we are approaching that 2600 line very quickly >>>and some top program is probably already there in a certain configuration. The >>>match with Huebner can also contribute to clarify better the current "state of >>>the art" in computer chess since it is played at tournament time setting and Dr. >>>Huebner is an anticomps specialist. >>> >>>Regards. >> >>Thanks for your reply, Mr. Gnaramori. >> >>No, I considered the event in Argentina, but that doesn't convince me, we need >>much more data, before we can establish whether or not computers/chessprograms, >>really _are_ 2600 or better. I do agree that the _gap_ is certainly closing! >>The five year mark is a _cautious_ estimate. >>Actually in might be possible for programs to reach 2800 in the next 5 years, >>but that IMO is an optimistic guess!;) > >No this is not the optimistic guess. No? > >The optimistic guess is my guess Really? >My guess is that you need to wait less time for it. Ok, 3 years!;) > >My guess is that good chess programs can also teach the best humans to play >better so getting 2800 or even 2900 is not going to be enough to be number 1 in >the world. Uri Hmmmm... I 've thought about this as well, will computers push the best beyond the " 2900 Barrier "? It may indeed aid humans to achieve this level of play, but there is a human limit and 2900 might be it? I'll be optimistic, 3000 could be the human limit?;) Well computers will almost definately break the " 3000 Barrier " and beyond! Terry > >
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