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Subject: Re: A pondering idea... [a more clear {hopefully} example]

Author: Dann Corbit

Date: 16:05:43 09/27/01

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On September 27, 2001 at 17:48:32, Peter Fendrich wrote:
[snip]
>Yes, I buy all that. My intention was to oppose to the "it's impossible"
>statement. You are talking about some general case. There is no reason why each
>move has to be 20% because the first one is. That's why I'm talking about
>isolating cases where the other move might be better. Another question is what
>happens if the ponder move has only 10% or 5% probability.
>I have no proofs that these cases are possible to identify but I'm still open
>for it, until I know better...

Also, it does not have to be either/or.

We could ponder the root for 1/2 of the extrapolated opponent time slice, and at
that point, change to the pm and ponder that.

It seems to me that there are many possibilities.

Something that is puzzling me...
If one move is really much better than the others, then we would think that it
would fail high, re-search, and gobble most of the time anyway.  If that does
not happen, then some of the alternatives must be pretty good.

So, why does pondering root yield only a 2% gain, and pondering the pm give an
enormous one?

It still does not make sense to me.

I guess I'm just having a hard time understanding why it is so much better to
ponder the pm instead of the root.



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