Author: Miguel A. Ballicora
Date: 10:02:44 09/28/01
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On September 28, 2001 at 12:10:58, J. Wesley Cleveland wrote: >On September 26, 2001 at 21:45:46, Robert Hyatt wrote: > >> >>Here is the problem.. I had to explain this to Komputer Korner a few years ago >>as well... >> >>If you correctly predict your opponent's move at least 50% of the time, or >>more, then the way we currently ponder can _not_ be improved on. >[snip] > >This all assumes that saving time is linearly equivalent to playing better, >which is not true. A simple counterexample is asymmetric time limits, e.g. you >have 1 second to move and your opponent has 1 day to move. If you ponder only >one move, you will often make a bad move when you do not predict correctly. >More relevantly, when you are pondering a move past the time when you would move >instantly, you are no longer saving time by pondering that move more deeply, and >the question becomes: Is the increased probability of choosing the right move by >pondering more deeply more valuable than the time you might save if you pondered >another move ? Good example, it could extrapolate to situations where a program is in time trouble and the opponent has plenty of time. Miguel
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