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Subject: Re: correspondence chess

Author: Miguel A. Ballicora

Date: 18:40:47 05/25/02

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On May 25, 2002 at 16:24:21, Uri Blass wrote:

>On May 25, 2002 at 15:02:51, Miguel A. Ballicora wrote:
>
>>On May 25, 2002 at 11:07:16, Vincent Diepeveen wrote:
>>
>>>On May 25, 2002 at 05:07:17, Uri Blass wrote:
>>>
>>>>On May 25, 2002 at 03:38:11, Jeroen Noomen wrote:
>>>>
>>>>>On May 24, 2002 at 18:34:18, BORIS YUDOVIN wrote:
>>>>>
>>>>>>Please answer my question.
>>>>>>If Fritz 8 play against different people with Elo rating
>>>>>>2200-2300 (corresp.chess ) what result can we expect.
>>>>>>(score %).Amount of games 500.
>>>>>>Thank You.Boris
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>>If you play against correspondence chess players of 2200-2300,
>>>>>there is a big chance you play Fritz, Shredder, Tiger, Rebel,
>>>>>or another chess program :-).
>>>>>
>>>>>Jeroen
>>>>
>>>>I think that this is mainly the case with higher rated correspondence players.
>>>>I believe that most 2200-2300 correspondence players or not use a computer or
>>>>use programs only for a short time.
>>>>
>>>>I expect top programs to get 80% against 2200-2300 correspondence players.
>>>>
>>>>The match of Steve Ham against computers when Steve Ham(2508 ICCF) lost 2.5-1.5
>>>>proved that programs can get a correspondence performance of more than 2500.
>>>>
>>>>Steve Ham did not play anti computer but most correspondence players do not try
>>>>to play in anti-computer style and if you say that the correspondence players
>>>>cannot use hardware for 24 hours per move in every game then I can answer that
>>>>today it is possible to use better hardware then the hardware that was used
>>>>against Steve Ham.
>>>>
>>>>My experience in correspondence games also suggest that computers can get
>>>>performance of more than 2500(I used also my head because performance of more
>>>>than 2500 was not enough for me to be the Israeli champion)
>>>>
>>>>Uri
>>>
>>>Most 2200-2300 corr games i see are 100% computer moves Uri.
>>>
>>>That you 'can' get higher with a computer doesn't say anything
>>>about reality here.
>>>
>>>Another thing where i have to laugh loud for always is that all
>>>correspondence chess players who are themselves rated pretty low,
>>>that they conclude that a certain program X is best program.
>>>
>>>The reason behind this is that they suck so much that they usually
>>>go for the biggest patzer move. So if they use more than 1 engine
>>>to analyze with, then what happens is they play the minimum strength
>>>of the both engines, resulting obviously in worse play than simply
>>>using 1 engine and giving it 24 hours of computing time.
>>>
>>>However the strong world top corr players i know, they all distrust
>>>the computer completely. These are rated obviously way higher than
>>>2200-2300, and their own rating OTB rating is not always saying
>>>something about how strong they play their corr games.
>>>
>>>Analytical insight, systematic analysis, and taking time at the right
>>>moment are the bottom lines.
>>>
>>>No computer has a chance against them. Some are rated 'only' 2400
>>>which obviously means that playing with a computer only is not garantueeing
>>>a high rating anymore in 2002.
>>
>>Let's not forget that correspondence ratings are probably inflated a lot.
>>The best players at this specialty probably never played a single game.
>>For instance, I have no doubt in my mind that Kasparov will eat alive any
>>correspondence player by a huge margin. What would be the rating of Kasparov if
>>it decides to really go into it? 3000?.
>
>I do not think that it is going to be 3000.
>
>Remember that the facts that both sides use computers reduces significantly  the
>advantage of kasparov.

>I guess that he is not going to be more than 100 elo higher than the best
>correspondence player and I doubt if he is going to be better than the best
>correspondence player.

Do you really doubt it?
Once you said that a computer could have a better static evaluation of an ending
than Capablanca (it was IIRC KBPPP vs KNPPP 3 vs 1 on each flank). I think that
you really underestimate the knowledge and power of those kind of guys.

Miguel

>The players who play against kasparov may prefer to play for a draw and not to
>take risks and kasparov may have bigger problems to win games.



>
>Uri



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