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Subject: Re: New and final solution of the Monty Hall Dilemma

Author: Jesper Antonsson

Date: 10:08:16 09/25/02

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Your "solution" is wrong, something that any simulation will show. Please read
the information you collected or do the simulation. The possible cases can also
be enumerated and counted by hand.

/Jesper

On September 25, 2002 at 12:38:06, Rolf Tueschen wrote:

>Please take a look at my revolutionary solution of this confusing problem:
>
>http://hometown.aol.de/rolftueschen/monty.html
>
>
>At first I went into the net and collected all sort of data for my page. I
>wanted to show how important methods and methodology are for science and also
>statistics. In special the exact defining of the terms.
>
>Then suddenly I had the inspiration and in a few minutes whitewashed a million
>people who as pupils, students or even professors let them be proved wrong by
>Marilyn vos Savant who has an IQ of 228. For decades now the Monty Hall Problem
>is taken as example for conditioned probability, which is wrong!
>
>Hope you enjoy my revelations. Please tell me if you want to comment.
>
>Rolf Tueschen



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