Author: Peter Berger
Date: 11:12:34 09/27/02
Go up one level in this thread
On September 27, 2002 at 14:04:01, Uri Blass wrote: >I am sure that I am right. >Marilyn was also right because she answered a different question. > >The probability after knowing that the *not knowing* Monty >took away all the no other no car door is 1/2. > >Suppose I choose place 1 and you choose place 2. >Now the not knowing Monty take away 3-1000000 and we see that there are >no cars in them. > >Do you agree that the probability that I am right is equal >to the probability that you are right? > >The same happens if the story does not include you and if >I know that the host is going always to open doors 3-100000 >because I can imagine a friend that choose door number 2. > >Uri That's not the equivalent setup, Uri. This is more like it: Imagine you stand at door 1, I stand at door 2 and the not-knowing Monty opens doors 2-999999 by a random order. By some incredible luck number 2 is the last one left and still no car showed up. Then he asks you: Mr Blass, do you want to switch or keep with your first choíce. What would you do ;-) ? Peter
This page took 0.01 seconds to execute
Last modified: Thu, 15 Apr 21 08:11:13 -0700
Current Computer Chess Club Forums at Talkchess. This site by Sean Mintz.