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Subject: Re: Solving Chess ... Refute this, and I might listen to ya...

Author: William H Rogers

Date: 10:56:35 01/20/05

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Chan
When these calculations were first dreamed up the mathaticians were considering
all possible moves of the chess men. Now considering that the most possible
first moves in a chess game is 20 with the most possible moves for black is also
20 then the number of possible moves becomes extremely great, but, I mean but
with capital letters over the last few centuries our Grand Masters of chess have
discovered or decided that there are only 5 or 6 best choices for the first move
and only 5 or 6 best possible replies by black. If these numbers by themsleves
are considered then chess solving moves into a more possible reality.
Next consider that there are opening books out there that go to depths as great
as 20 or moves deep and there are end game studies that backward trace the end
game to somewhere close to that number, then it become more likely that the two
will meet someday, and in fact in a tournement held a few years ago one program
was mated by another which had never left its opening book.
In my opinion just as soon as more work is done in this fashing we will see more
games recorded from begining to end with mate being the end result. We must also
remember that with transposition tables the total number of opening moves then
becomes even smaller that originally calculated and once again setting the goal
of solving chess even closer. What happens when 10*43rd power shrinks down to
10*15th power, does that sound like a more reasonable number that just might be
solvable, and if the total number of really powerful moves that can not be
refuted hold true then is it not possible that the real number of moves to solve
chess becomes more of a reality? I believe that in the next 10 or 20 years
because of the work being done on both opening and end game studies that the
connections will be found and thus rendering chess by those who follow those
connections unbeatable or in other words 'solved'.
There may not be that many who follow my thinking but I think in time this will
be proven to be right.\
My best
Bill



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