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Subject: Re: The importance of opening books -- a simple experiment

Author: Arturo Ochoa

Date: 09:01:47 02/18/05

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On February 18, 2005 at 10:59:27, Uri Blass wrote:

>On February 18, 2005 at 10:30:42, Arturo Ochoa wrote:
>
>>On February 18, 2005 at 04:50:13, Uri Blass wrote:
>>
>>>On February 18, 2005 at 04:25:37, Sune Fischer wrote:
>>>
>>>>
>>>>>>These so called "killer books" are always used by very strong engines on top
>>>>>>hardware.
>>>>>>The killer books seem to work best against weaker engines on weaker hardware.
>>>>>>Now isn't that odd? :)
>>>>>
>>>>>Killer books are in most of the cases for rich people who can pay for book
>>>>>makers so it is not a surprise that they work against engines with weaker
>>>>>hardware that do not have time to prepare.
>>>>
>>>>That could be the reason, but the point is that it won't show a lot because
>>>>these engines are so strong already that they would have won even with a bad
>>>>book.
>>>>
>>>>It would be far more interesting to give Beowulf a 700 Elo book and then go
>>>>wipeout Shredder & co in the big tournaments. :)
>>>>
>>>>>I also do not beliebe in 700 elo but I certainly believe that they can improve
>>>>>the performance by 100-200 elo in a tournament when part of the opponents.
>>>>>
>>>>>If you have statistics of  a lot of games that you get 70% against some program
>>>>>with line A and 50% against the same program with line B then choosing line A is
>>>>>important.
>>>>>
>>>>>If you have similar statistics for many programs then it may give you
>>>>>significant increase in performance in tournaments.
>>>>
>>>>I tend to think the effect is mostly psychological.
>>>>
>>>>I can see how comming out of book with a +0.6 score against an equal opponent
>>>>must feel like half a victory, and it's not hard for me to imagine that some
>>>>would call that totally winning :)
>>>
>>>I am not talking about score but about statistics
>>>
>>>It is possible to test engine A against engine B in many openings.
>>>
>>>If opening X leads to 50% and opening Y leads to 70% then opening X is better
>>>against engine B(it does not mean that it is better generally against
>>>everything).
>>>>
>>>>>Even with no special preperation against specific opponent you may have
>>>>>statistics that your program  score 60% with 1.e4 c6 2.d4 d5 3.f3 and only 50%
>>>>>against the same opponents with 1.e4 c6 2.d4 d5 3.e5 so of course opening
>>>>>preperation can help significantly in tournament.
>>>>
>>>>I believe such is thing is possible, but increasing your score from 50% to 60%
>>>>is still not much more than 50-100 Elo.
>>>>
>>>>-S.
>>>
>>>I agree so I do not think general preperation can give you more than 50-100 elo
>>>preperation against specific opponents can give you another 50-100 elo so the
>>>general improvement in tournaments can be 100-200 elo.
>>>
>>>Uri
>>
>>Again the question: how do you know that? Have you ever run any test that holds
>>your suppositions? If you tune very well a book against a specific opponent and
>>your opponent is similar in strength and you get  the 90% of the score. What is
>>the elo of your engine against this engine? Only 100-200 elo.
>>
>>Provide facts......
>
>The problem is that there are engines that you cannot prepare against them.
>If the specific opponent is static you are right but considering the fact that
>part of the opponents are not static target and even if they did not work about
>the book they worked about the engine my guess is only 100-200 elo
>
>Uri

You got my point: It is just a supposition and you dont have proofs to support
that. You generalize without giving examples of your suppositions. Is this apply
to all the engines? Did you run a test will alll the engines to prove your
point? Your supposition suck when you try to asseverate it as an absolute
generalization.

In this case, the asseveration is again: False assumption. :)



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