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Subject: Re: ELO fails at the extremes

Author: Kim Hvarre

Date: 08:48:16 01/30/99

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On January 30, 1999 at 01:28:51, KarinsDad wrote:

>On January 29, 1999 at 23:59:55, Peter Kappler wrote:
>
>>
>
>My meaning is as follows:
>
>Win expectency for a difference of 1000 points is 0.00315231 (as per Dann's
>posting).
>
>This means that out of 100,000 players with an 1800 ELO (1900 USCF rated
>players), 315 of them should on average win (i.e. 315 wins or even more draws)
>against Garry Kasparov in standard tournament times if all 100,000 of them
>played him. This is total bull. It would be an amazing event if even one of them
>won (or even drew) against Garry Kasparov in standard tournament times.
>

Well, I think that if Kasparov had to play around 57 years without any pauses
(games in around 5h), he would loose a few;))

regards/kim



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